Beliefs Revealed in Bayesian-Nash Equilibrium

نویسندگان

  • Tomasz Sadzik
  • Matt Jackson
  • Jonathan Levin
  • Qingmin Liu
  • Michael Ostrovsky
  • Rohit Parikh
  • Marcin Peski
چکیده

Standard belief hierarchies are an insufficient description of uncertainty for the BayesianNash Equilibrium (BNE) solution concept. Two states with the same belief hierarchy profile may have different sets of BNE action profiles, for many games. We construct new hierarchy profiles with explicit beliefs about payoff irrelevant signals. We show that BNE can be described within those hierarchy profiles and is characterized by Bayesian rationality conditions. We also show that those hierarchy profiles are minimal, revealed by the BNE play, in the following sense: if any two states differ on them, then there is a game for which they have different sets of BNE action profiles.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

An Experiment to Evaluate Bayesian Learning of Nash Equilibrium Play By

Some recent theoretical approaches to the question of how players might converge over time to a Nash equilibrium have assumed that the players update their beliefs about other players according to Bayes’ Rule. Jordan has shown in a Bayesian model of this kind that play will (theoretically) always converge to a complete-information Nash equilibrium, even though individual players will not genera...

متن کامل

Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis of Biased Beliefs and Distributional Other-Regarding Preferences

This study investigates the relationship between an actor’s beliefs about others’ other-regarding (social) preferences and her own other-regarding preferences, using an “avant-garde” hierarchical Bayesian method. We estimate two distributional other-regarding preference parameters, α and β, of actors using incentivized choice data in binary Dictator Games. Simultaneously, we estimate the distri...

متن کامل

Bayesian Games: Games with Incomplete Information

Glossary Bayesian game An interactive decision situation involving several decision makers (players) in which each player has beliefs about (i. e. assigns probability distribution to) the payoff relevant parameters and the beliefs of the other players. State of nature Payoff relevant data of the game such as payoff functions, value of a random variable, etc. It is convenient to think of a state...

متن کامل

A Learning Theory for the Harsanyi's Doctrine in Repeated Games

This paper investigates simultaneous learning about both nature and others’ actions in repeated games, and identifies a set of sufficient conditions assuring that equilibrium actions converge to a Nash equilibrium. Players have each an utility function over infinite histories continuous for the product topology. Nature’ drawing after any history can depend on any past actions, or can be indepen...

متن کامل

Convergence in Economic Models with Bayesian Hierarchies of Beliefs

I study a model where hierarchies of beliefs (the beliefs about the beliefs of other agents, etc.) are important. I provide conditions under which optimal actions of agents will converge to the Nash equilibrium of the model characterized by the true, previously unknown ``fundamentals.'' The conditions are (i) a contraction property on the best-response mappings and (ii) a mutual absolute contin...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2008